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Why is sell-in no longer sufficient to manage the on-trade?

  • Writer: Claire Brunaud
    Claire Brunaud
  • 4 minutes ago
  • 3 min read
fyre

For years, sell-in was the main benchmark for managing performance in the on-trade.


Delivered volumes, negotiated numeric distribution, sales pressure: once the product left the warehouse, the job seemed done.

But the market has changed.


And today, managing the on-trade using only sell-in is like driving without real visibility on actual consumption.



Sell-in: a necessary but incomplete indicator


Sell-in answers a very specific question:

👉 “Have I sold my products to my direct customers?”


It is an essential indicator to:

  • track sales execution

  • measure network coverage

  • manage sales teams


But it says little — or almost nothing — about:

  • actual rotation at the point of sale

  • performance versus competitors

  • the impact of activations

  • the real stock situation at the outlet


Strong sell-in figures can hide a very different reality on the ground.



The on-trade’s biggest blind spot: sell-out


In the on-trade, sell-out has historically been:

  • nonexistent

  • partial

  • estimated

  • or heavily delayed


In other words:

👉 decisions are made based on proxies

👉 action plans rely on assumptions

👉 the link between execution and consumption remains unclear


For an On-Trade Sales Director, this creates constant tension: pressure on volumes, difficulty proving real performance, and increasingly complex budget trade-offs.



When sell-in gives a false sense of performance


A delivered volume is not a consumed volume.

On the ground, several scenarios are common:

  • products with strong sell-in… but weak sales at the till

  • visible activations with no lasting impact

  • stock sitting idle behind the bar

  • SKUs being pushed at the expense of those that actually rotate


Without reliable sell-out data, it is impossible to know whether the product is truly being adopted, whether activation mechanics are working, and whether sales pressure is properly directed.



The paradigm shift: managing through real consumption


Today, managing the on-trade means answering far more operational questions:

Where are my products actually selling?

How fast are they rotating at outlet level?

Which formats, recipes, or SKUs are performing?

What is the real impact of an activation or a commercial push?

What happens after delivery?


These answers cannot come from sell-in alone.

They require a sell-out view, as close as possible to the point of consumption.



Why sell-out is becoming a strategic lever


Reliable sell-out data makes it possible to:

  • objectively assess commercial performance

  • prioritize the right outlets

  • refine call plans and sales routes

  • adjust activations along the way

  • strengthen the credibility of internal decisions


It does not replace sell-in.

It complements it — and makes it actionable.



From theoretical data to actionable data


The on-trade’s historical challenge was never a lack of willingness.

It was a lack of data.


By structuring POS data coming directly from venues, solutions like Fyre now make it possible to access an actionable sell-out view — at market, regional, or outlet-type level.


Data no longer stays at a “macro” level.

It becomes a true operational steering tool.



What this changes for an On-Trade Sales Director


A more granular view of performance

Delivered volumes are put into perspective with real consumption.

Successes and underperformances become clearly visible.


Stronger trade-offs

Investments can be directed toward:

  • the right networks

  • the right formats

  • the right moments


Better sales / marketing alignment

The link between sales pressure, activation, and sell-out finally becomes measurable.



Sell-in + sell-out: the new standard


Sell-in remains a cornerstone of commercial management.

But on its own, it is no longer enough.

In an on-trade environment that is increasingly competitive, fragmented, and demanding, performance is decided at the point of sale — not at the warehouse door.


The brands that will succeed tomorrow are those that can:

  • connect commercial execution with real consumption

  • manage performance based on facts, not approximations

  • make fast decisions using reliable indicators


So the real question is no longer:

“How much did we sell?”

But rather:

“What is really selling, where, and why?”


fyre

 
 
 

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